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Why the Autumn Budget 2025 will be the Chancellor's hardest test yet

Roger Eddowes

CREATED BY ROGER EDDOWES

Published: 16/10/2025 @ 09:00AM

#Autumn Budget 2025 #UKEconomy #BusinessRates #TaxPolicy #Investment #Productivity

The Autumn Budget 2025 will need to balance tight fiscal rules with an already weakened economy. Can we expect a clearer tax strategy? Business rates reform? Will there be cautious support for investment? I think it's going to be a credibility-and-confidence moment ...

Autumn Budget 2025 , Leaves fall, budgets rise , Economy's dance begins

Autumn Budget 2025 , Leaves fall, budgets rise , Economy's dance begins

We can all see the stakes rising as the Autumn Budget 2025 approaches, with the Chancellor trying to fund priorities, avoid new taxes on working people, and still respect the borrowing rules she set. But right now, the UK faces the highest rate of inflation in the G7, driven by rising energy bills and food prices.

I expect tough choices!

Market conditions have shifted, with higher gilt yields piling more than £3 billion onto debt interest. Additionally, policy reversals since March add roughly £6 billion to the tab, making the fiscal arithmetic for the Autumn Budget 2025 brutally tight.

I've warned before that the UK's growth engine is misfiring, and that political uncertainty has chilled investment. I'm worried about sluggish productivity unless the Autumn Budget 2025 delivers confidence, clarity, and a credible route to higher private-sector spending.

My clients want stability over surprises, and many are hoping there will be no further tax rises on businesses. They've also told me they need the Autumn Budget 2025 to back investment through simpler rules, faster decisions, and measures that are resilient to shocks from fragile supply chains, geopolitics, and lingering inflation.

Inside government, a new Budget Board linking No.10 and the Treasury, chaired by Baroness Minouche Shafik and Treasury Minister Torsten Bell, signals a tighter grip on trade-offs so the Autumn Budget 2025 can align political priorities with a coherent economic strategy.

I think some positive signals on business rates need to be announced, too. Reviewing Small Business Rates Relief to remove the cliff edge when a firm opens a second site could prevent expansion from triggering a sudden bill.

This could make the Autumn Budget 2025 a practical
nudge for growth on real high streets!

In the end, I believe that the Chancellor's credibility will hinge on a clear tax strategy that raises revenue fairly, supports productivity, and avoids blunt hikes on working people. If she lands that balance, the Autumn Budget 2025 can steady expectations and give businesses the confidence to invest again.

The IMF expects the UK economy to become the second fastest-growing in a few years. The Autumn Budget 2025 will be pivotal in making that happen.

I'm very interested to see what the Chancellor will announce.

Until next time ...


ROGER EDDOWES
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#Autumn Budget 2025 #UKEconomy #BusinessRates #TaxPolicy #Investment #Productivity

About Roger Eddowes ...

Roger Eddowes 

Roger trained at Edward Thomas Peirson & Sons in Market Harborough before working at Hartwell & Co, followed by Chancery, as a partner. He started Essendon Accounts and Tax with Helen Beaumont in 2014 as a general practitioner with a hands-on approach.

Roger loves getting his hands dirty, working with emerging, small-to-medium and family businesses to ensure they receive the best possible accountancy advice. Roger utilises an extensive network of business contacts to leverage the best guidance and practical solutions.

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